Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 6.458361 7.481863 8.578368 9.836323 11.235340 12.739228 14.473737
2025-05-04 5.321450 6.778105 8.452118 10.500818 12.922185 15.674402 19.019763
2025-05-11 4.238013 5.911472 7.965583 10.631200 13.954657 17.916332 22.946481
2025-05-18 3.288523 5.021331 7.289485 10.400492 14.474251 19.541435 26.225322
2025-05-25 2.584870 4.312548 6.717903 10.191692 14.947277 21.089699 29.464518
2025-06-01 2.099080 3.811026 6.336109 10.157904 15.600432 22.864196 33.051930
2025-06-08 1.704493 3.366617 5.960482 10.065532 16.129988 24.469577 36.467501
2025-06-15 1.521939 3.225558 6.010319 10.578164 17.524094 27.299789 41.640047
2025-06-22 1.278822 2.931503 5.773514 10.617377 18.210132 29.155954 45.536009
2025-06-29 1.009877 2.532156 5.302962 10.227630 18.202797 29.995669 48.014815
2025-07-06 0.787815 2.171130 4.840893 9.790187 18.066902 30.611194 50.165428
2025-07-13 0.715509 2.106713 4.901905 10.232577 19.338471 33.363518 55.510466
2025-07-20 0.686715 2.139131 5.157499 11.050055 21.291849 37.273310 62.773201
2025-07-27 0.635992 2.110141 5.289957 11.657630 22.933523 40.774776 69.557294
2025-08-03 0.541224 1.950012 5.137699 11.729230 23.675637 42.904416 74.346306
2025-08-10 0.433159 1.723516 4.812377 11.440158 23.772945 44.009002 77.598050
2025-08-17 0.347385 1.530424 4.526610 11.192405 23.914558 45.174947 80.967223
2025-08-24 0.288326 1.396886 4.352319 11.142952 24.395265 46.896463 85.242638
2025-08-31 0.236069 1.265652 4.161059 11.036061 24.756681 48.424379 89.247490
2025-09-07 0.220572 1.259220 4.276378 11.582525 26.357628 52.081599 96.764151
2025-09-14 0.186122 1.168348 4.162021 11.622008 26.999031 54.129189 101.728865
2025-09-21 0.141791 1.015070 3.854376 11.201877 26.727397 54.592075 104.110531
2025-09-28 0.105122 0.871254 3.541524 10.730928 26.316652 54.782501 106.030374